Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.511126 3.731623 3.966614 4.237046 4.541400 4.875420 5.272615
2024-10-13 3.151387 3.437207 3.756427 4.143513 4.606050 5.148939 5.846864
2024-10-20 2.871635 3.193774 3.566720 4.038208 4.630418 5.367631 6.386738
2024-10-27 2.627358 2.966474 3.370294 3.898319 4.589868 5.496252 6.836317
2024-11-03 2.531263 2.906536 3.367917 3.995422 4.859922 6.069345 8.026851
2024-11-10 2.467313 2.879322 3.401884 4.141303 5.215408 6.830203 9.741499
2024-11-17 2.333677 2.752390 3.294536 4.082628 5.270998 7.155218 10.856997
2024-11-24 2.205373 2.623242 3.173398 3.991098 5.263685 7.377990 11.879573
2024-12-01 2.100889 2.518757 3.077577 3.925923 5.287524 7.659156 13.165272
2024-12-08 2.014927 2.433769 3.002284 3.883200 5.340871 8.005934 14.810971
2024-12-15 1.969000 2.400248 2.996523 3.944706 5.577128 8.764441 18.135787
2024-12-22 1.869484 2.287100 2.868723 3.803176 5.438036 8.719464 19.005681
2024-12-29 1.815846 2.243165 2.850205 3.853763 5.691598 9.694377 25.174407
2025-01-05 1.735149 2.156663 2.763051 3.784274 5.712307 10.159462 30.556210
2025-01-12 1.657990 2.071462 2.672685 3.701485 5.696577 10.546744 37.141083
2025-01-19 1.579538 1.980749 2.568635 3.586296 5.599132 10.692525 43.296406
2025-01-26 1.553466 1.965284 2.579921 3.674246 5.948208 12.344142 81.806185
2025-02-02 1.537190 1.963191 2.611830 3.803351 6.424571 14.850667 358.401431
2025-02-09 1.486549 1.906653 2.552160 3.755217 6.474947 15.841109 9451.859970
2025-02-16 1.434068 1.845020 2.480632 3.677840 6.439755 16.475055 NaN
2025-02-23 1.389413 1.793536 2.423069 3.622629 6.453051 17.398099 NaN
2025-03-02 1.351262 1.750511 2.377232 3.586484 6.511487 18.668401 NaN
2025-03-09 1.331409 1.734956 2.376526 3.640758 6.832376 22.004726 NaN